Inside RDNA4, Charting Ukraine’s USD 524 Billion Path to Recovery

June 23, 2025


The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has caused unprecedented destruction, making long-term recovery a global priority. According to the Fourth Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA4) report, produced by the Government of Ukraine in partnership with the World Bank, European Union (EU), and United Nations (UN), the estimated cost to rebuild Ukraine’s infrastructure and economy over the next decade is a staggering $524 billion.This comprehensive assessment highlights the direct war damage valued at $176 billion and outlines Ukraine’s urgent needs across multiple sectors. Recovery efforts focus not only on repairing damaged infrastructure but also on creating a modern, resilient, and sustainable future based on the “Build Back Better” principle. The Government of Ukraine has identified 787 reconstruction projects with a 2025 funding requirement of approximately $12 billion. To date, only 92 projects worth $5.4 billion have secured funding, leaving a significant funding gap exceeding $6 billion for critical recovery initiatives in 2025.

In this article, Volodymyr Monastyrskyy from Dentons, Chris Richardson and Sulaxmi Rai from Secretariat break down RDNA4’s findings. They discuss where investment is most needed and what it will take to move from damage to development.

Key Findings from the Ukraine RDNA4 Recovery Assessment:

  • Total estimated cost of reconstruction and recovery: $524 billion over 10 years.
  • Direct material war damage: $176 billion across housing, transport, energy, commerce, and industrial sectors.
  • Priority recovery sectors: housing, energy, transport, healthcare, demining, social protection, and urban development.
  • Number of prioritized projects for recovery: 787 multiyear projects; 304 prioritized for 2025.
  • Funding needed for 2025 projects: approximately $12 billion.
  • Funding secured to date: $5.4 billion for 92 projects, creating a funding shortfall of more than $6 billion.
  • International support has been mobilized by institutions such as the World Bank, EU, UN, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and multiple governments, but sustained global cooperation remains essential.
  • Recovery goals focus on building back safer, more resilient infrastructure and services, improving energy independence, and fostering economic growth to achieve a stable and inclusive Ukraine.

The scale and complexity of Ukraine’s reconstruction require coordinated efforts across international financial institutions, governments, and private sector partners. Transparent, data-driven insights from RDNA4 enable stakeholders to prioritize investments that promote sustainable economic recovery, social stability, and long-term resilience.

Read the full analysis and explore how strategic funding can help Ukraine transform challenges into opportunities.

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